The Fourth Wave Could Hit Pakistan in July: Asad Umar

The Fourth Wave Could Hit Pakistan in July: Asad Umar

Federal Minister for Planning Asad Umar warned on Friday of a fourth COVID-19 wave in Pakistan expected in July, urging the people to implement SOPs to stay safe during the Corona pandemic. 

The federal minister, and the chief of the National Command and Operation Centre (NCOC), stated they as per the analysis of data, another wave of the pandemic can hit Pakistan if safety protocols are not followed.

“Studied the artificial intelligence-based disease modelling analysis in NCOC today. The 4th wave could hit Pakistan in July if strong SOP enforcement and continued strong vaccination program will not be followed,” Asad Umar tweeted.

The third wave of COVID-19, which struck Pakistan in February proved deadlier than previous ones. The number of active cases in Pakistan during the third wave reached over the 50,000 mark on March 31. 

Within one month, the country's coronavirus cases almost doubled as, on April 29, Pakistan's active cases surpassed the 90,000 mark.

The country reported the highest positivity ratio of 11.63% on April 4. According to the NCOC, the total number of confirmed COVID-19 cases in Pakistan stands at 952,907, whereas 897,834 people have recovered from the virus.

At present, there are almost 33,000 active cases and the countrywide death toll stands at 22,152.

As per the NCOC's data, during the first wave, the active cases count crossed the 50,000 mark in June 2020 and then started declining and finally, fell to less than 6,000 by September.

The second wave of the pandemic hit Pakistan in October followed by NCOC introduced restrictions, which included the closing of schools and other educational institutions. 

By December, the active case count had exceeded 50,000 and gradually dropped to the 16,000 mark in February 2021.

Read more: Pakistan reports less than 1,000 COVID-19 cases for the first time since Feb 15

Pakistan began its vaccination campaign on February 2 and has till now administered 14,165,288 doses.